Woodward, Forego, Hopeful preview

by TCI 3 weeks ago

Jon and Joel launch the season’s first Top 5 for the Breeders’ Cup Classic, while recapping the Travers and Pacific Classic, as well as previewing this Saturday’s Woodward. How did/will those races impact the Classic picture? They also take a first look at 2-year-olds in the Hopeful, as well as preview the lone Breeders’ Cup Challenge race of the weekend – the Forego for sprinters at Saratoga.

Watch it. Comment.

TCI Top 5 Classic

Rank Name Bris
1 Will Take Charge 106
2 Palace Malice 113
3 Shared Belief 111
4 Moreno 110
5 California Chrome 106


through 8/29/2014

Discussion

  • 1JoeP

    Hi Joel – I can see where you are very high on WTC. We know he likes 1 1/4 and SA. I am concerned that Palace Malice could be going the wrong way, his next race will tell alot. I think this weekend will be a Moreno/Zivo exacta box. I am not sold on Moreno going 10 furlongs in the classic with all of the speed that will be sure to be in that race. California Chromes PA derby will tell alot
    of where he is now in his conditioning. Here’s my top 6 for the Classic. Will surely change by BCC day. #1 Shared Belief, #2 Cal. Chrome #3 Majestic Harbor #4 WTC #5 Wicked Strong #6 V.E. Day.

    • Joel Cunningham

      Hey Joe! Sorry, I was having alert issues and missed your post, but now everything should be straightened out! You were unfortunately right about Palace Malice. His Whitney effort didn’t alarm me all that much because he has run so hard all year that I was expecting a regression at some point, but obviously there was more to it. Very disappointing and a big blow to the Classic division as well as Horse of the Year race.

      Will Take Charge is back at Churchill and I look forward to going over to see him up close and watch him train soon. I really think this breather will benefit him because he’s gone non-stop for a long time and has really racked up some miles. I really do not fault him for losing some races like the Donn and Big Cap because those were great performances in defeat behind quality speed horses that fired over speed-biased racetracks both days. To me, he started regressing in the Oaklawn Handicap and really didn’t run up to his capability all summer until the Whitney, which I thought was a better performance considering the slow pace and wide trip. If he comes back strong in the Jockey Club Gold Cup then I still feel that he’ll be the horse to beat on Nov. 1 going 1 1/4 miles over a track he likes — and most notably, finally getting what should be a contentious pace scenario in front of him to set up his closing punch.

      You mentioned Moreno, who has a lot of quality stamina in his female family. His biggest problem is getting the right trip IMO, not so much the stamina part of it. I really believe that he’ll be very tough to catch in the JCGC, however he MUST rate in the BC Classic to have any shot in that race, and I don’t believe he’s as good when he has to rate.

      Nice top 6! Keep in touch!


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