John Battaglia S. preview

by TCI 3 years ago

Jon & Joel analyze the first real shake-up in the TCI Top 10 after a wild weekend of key Derby preps and telling performances. Who are the risers, and whose stock fell? They make sense of it all, and preview Saturday’s John Battaglia Stakes too.

Watch it. Comment.

TCI Top 10

Rank Name Beyer
1 Carpe Diem 93
2 American Pharoah 101
3 Dortmund 103
4 Texas Red 104
5 Daredevil 107
6 Khozan 103
7 Far From Over 96
8 Firing Line 103
9 Upstart 106
10 Ocean Knight 93


OFF: Frosted, Imperia
through 2/26/2015

Discussion

  • Polamalu4343

    My weekly fix of the TCI! After watching the latest workouts of Dortmund and American Pharoah, today, I was very impressed. AP may very well be a monster in the making. The San Felipe and Tampa Bay Derby are going to be real interesting preps next week, particularly if Baffert decides to run Dortmund based upon that workout yesterday. I’m hearing that Firing Line is Sunland bound. Looking forward to next weeks show!

    • Joel Cunningham

      Thanks Polamalu!

      I think you’re right about Dortmund. I think he’s doing so well that Baffert probably doesn’t want to sit on him for over a month now. Points aren’t much of an issue for him and I’m sure Bob felt after he gutted a tough one out in the Bob Lewis he didn’t want to squeeze the proverbial lemon too many times between now and May, so he initially wanted to save him for the SA Derby.

      But he’s a big horse, and he’s handled racing well and even appears to be showing marked improvement in the mornings through it all. Maybe the greater fear now is keeping him fit and not tearing the barn down. If he does show up next weekend like it appears he may, that’s a bad sign for the competition, knowing how that barn operates.

      Firing Line may be smart to dodge him, although beating Sunland horses doesn’t seem like a move that will make him better. I think he needs racing and the San Felipe is his best option, which would give him another prep in the SA Derby before having to go East to Churchill. If he trains up to the Sunland Derby then he’ll likely have to go straight into the KY Derby with the 6-wk gap, unless they want to ship him multiple times and run him 3 times within a 6-wk time frame, which doesn’t seem like the best option.

      Agree on AP. But how far will he go? Does he need his own free-running trip to win? Will colts with similar styles like Daredevil eventually cross his path and be something he can overcome? Some serious questions there..but talent is not one of them. Baffert has already admitted this is the best Derby hand he’s held in a long time. Will be fun to see!

      • Joel Cunningham

        Dortmund confirmed for San Felipe

  • Hi Joel -Really looking forward to the San Felipe this weekend. Dortmund will be getting all of the press, and deservedly so, but the colt I will be watching will be Bolo. He has been training well at SA. Bolo has tactical speed, much like California Chrome. Dortmund may be chasing Bolo in the stretch and may not be able to get by him. Dortmund owns 2 consecutive victories over the gutsy Firing Line. Bolo is flying under the radar now, but with a compelling effort in the San Felipe, that would change. Joel – What is your take on Bolo this weekend and his outlook as a Derby contender?

    • Joel Cunningham

      Hey JoeP!

      I was hoping we would see Bolo before now on the dirt, but he decided to bypass the Bob Lewis. No question that he has ability and his wins have turned out to be in key races. The obvious thing that causes speculation is his turf-favoring sire Temple City, who has been awesome so far with his first crop. However, the success has obviously come mostly on grass through his progeny. He’s definitely intriguing and I’m glad we’re going to finally get the chance to see if he can run with top Derby colts on the dirt.


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