Jon & Joel analyze the first pair of “Second Round” prep races Saturday, with 85 Kentucky Derby points up for grabs in each race. Can Violence come back strongly in his 3-year-old debut in Gulfstream’s Fountain of Youth S. (G2)? Who will emerge out of a loaded field in Fair Grounds’ Risen Star S. (G2) to become a top contender on the Derby Trail?
Watch it. Comment.
TCI Top 10
|1||Violence||98||Currently has the best overall Derby profile; Must return sharp in Fountain of Youth.|
|2||Flashback||98||Will need to run faster than his Lewis win, but the talent and connections are there.|
|3||Revolutionary||103||Much improved around two turns and deserves credit for overcoming adversity in Withers.|
|4||Oxbow||94||LeComte winner should continue to improve with distance; Risen Star will be tougher test.|
|5||Tiz the Truth||92||Visually loved his two-turn maiden win; Tremendous upside for the Classics.|
|6||Palace Malice||102||Another with a Classic pedigree that has flashed talent; We’ll learn a lot in Risen Star.|
|7||Verrazano||104||This year’s version of a freak, but one has to be concerned about distance limitations.|
|8||Goldencents||101||Honest colt has a lot to like, but he too leaves questions about how far he’ll go.|
|9||Itsmyluckyday||111||Has dazzled at Gulfstream; Main worries are over his ability to maintain that form.|
|10||Shanghai Bobby||103||Champ is as fast & classy as any, however seems the least likely to excel at 1 ¼ miles.|