Final G1 Derby preps produce new shooters

by Joel Cunningham 5 years ago

Joel & Jon analyze Blue Grass winner Stately Victor & Arkansas Derby winner Line of David, as well as both colts’ emergence from relative anonymity to Grade 1 winners and late-arriving Kentucky Derby contenders. Who are these colts, and do they have a chance to make an impact in three weeks under the Twin Spires? Watch video and comment.

Discussion

  • http://none draynay

    Speed is sexy but it seldom works in the Derby. The only thing left is to see the works and try and figure out who is taking to the track and who is not. No one is talking about Endorsement and his works say he is feeling good and rested. Thoughts ?

    • Joel Cunningham

      I agree that Endorsement is becoming increasingly interesting, draynay. If you believe his Sunland Derby was not a fluke then you have to like his pedigree and style…his work the other day at KEE showed me he is getting really good right now…it was effortless and the horse came out of it like it was nothing more than a gallop to him.

      You mentioned speed…I think with the addition of Line of David that there will be plenty of early pace in the Derby. I cannot recall the last time I saw so many front-end winners in Derby prep races…this has not been the year of the closers so far….but when you get all of that speed together on May 1st it should make for an honestly run race from a pace standpoint.

  • http://www.pmadv.com Jon Siegel

    draynay,

    All I can say is that we have been watching Endorsement at Keeneland and he looks great. After his work the other day we went back to the barn and was eating his hay and looked very happy.

    He is interesting to me.

    Jon

    • http://none draynay

      Any idea when they will work him out at Churchill?

      • Joel Cunningham

        Elliot Walden and Shannon Ritter probably have not mapped out his final breeze at CD yet….but he WILL have one work over the track.

        The question I have is: If Noble’s Promise runs in the Derby, who will Robby Albarado ride? If he and agent Lenny Pike choose NP then the mount on Endorsement could be offered to a myriad of different riders. I spoke to Javier Castellano yesterday he said that they had been in contact with them about the possible Derby mount, but he also has Discreetly Mine – and possibly Rule – to choose from.

        • http://none draynay

          If Endorsement was MY horse I would be on the phone with Calvin Borel right now !!!

  • Super Saver

    So we have three trainers with 50% of the field. I am not high on Sadler’s horses. Line of David will bounce and Sidney’s Candy will be pressured right from the start. Endorsement will hit the board.

    • Joel Cunningham

      Sadler’s horses are interesting to me because they obviously look like they could compromise each other on paper due to the speed of both Line of David and Sidney’s Candy.

      I bet they try to rate Sidney’s Candy now…probably stalk.

      • http://none draynay

        Joel I believe you are right. Line of David is going to the lead no matter what. He has won 3 in a row and they aren’t going to change what works. If he runs a 111 and finishes in 49 he is your winner but it’s hard to believe he can hold it to the wire. Betting on him would be fun because you would be very happy for at least a minute and a half.


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