Belmont Stakes Recap

Taylor Made Stallions
by TCI 3 years ago

Jon and Joel put a wrap on the Belmont Stakes and 2012 Triple Crown season, which was stacked full of exciting highs and disappointing lows. They discuss the potential for the second half of the year for this talented group of sophomores, along with the retirement of Kentucky Derby and Preakness winner I’ll Have Another.

Watch it. Comment.

TCI Top 3-year-olds with top speed rating

Rank Name Bris Comments
1 Bodemeister 109 Brilliant colt was closest to the recently retired I’ll Have Another, so he assumes top spot
2 Paynter 107 This rising talent showed his potential in the Belmont; Set up for a big second half of year
3 Union Rags 104 Showed improved determination in stretch of the Belmont; Still one of the best of this crop
4 Trinniberg 104 With Secret Circle & Discreet Dancer away, he’s proven to be the fastest around one turn
5 Dullahan 106 Don’t think he handled the Belmont distance; Classy colt is still a two-time G1 winner

through 6/11/2012

Discussion

  • JR

    Hi Joel,
    Do me a favor go to http://www.chef-de-race.com , click on 2012 Belmont stakes, when it opens up scroll down to the pace parameters section in green and look at Dullahan and his position across the board, notice the 12 F,12ftt and 12flq section don’t think it was his lack of ability, as it was the dirt. Also look at the top five in green, what do you notice, all four that came in the Belmont. That is one reason why I picked Antigun, in my exotics. Also  scroll above where the horses are listed and look at the CC section of the horses that came in 1-4.  Scroll back down and read the description of Correlation Coefficient about the energy that is used through out the race. Very interesting, and if you really want to see something, go to the archives on the menu, when it opens just click on the derby and Preakness and look at the pace parameters in green very interesting. 

    If you have already looked at this before, then just disregard the above :) If you haven’t let my know your thoughts.

    Kind Regards,
    JR
    leaving June-26-July-19th going to the rock (Cayman) 

    • Joel Cunningham

      JR,

      I am familiar with the site and do believe, beyond any other race run on dirt in North America, that dosage is a huge factor in the Belmont Stakes. It’s why I threw out Dullahan and others who didnt have the profile to handle 1 1/2 miles, regardless of talent…and I also used horses such as Atigun and Five Sixteen who I would have never used had this race been run at 1 1/8 miles or 1 1/4 miles.

      I really felt that I’ll Have Another would win unless he got into a fight on the far turn with Paynter, who I really felt confident in from an ability standpoint to give IHA a substantial challenge…which is why I liked Street Life as a longshot…i really felt he could be the benefactor late if IHA and Paynter had a prolonged duel on that big, sweeping home turn… Both Paynter and IHA were coming off huge efforts at Pimlico and each was running a third race in a 5-6 week span, which made me believe it could leave them vulnerable late if they hooked up in a fight.

      Once the unfortunate news broke that IHA scratched, I really thought Paynter would be tough to run down at that point, and he became the horse for me. Rags obviously ran back to his promise and got the job done…another horse with a good dosage profile despite being by a sprint/miler sire :)

      So yes, the dosage theories held up again this year! Obviously, Street Life ran his race but wasn’t good enough..he would have needed a better pace with IHA in the race, but in hindsight Union Rags was going to be the best off-the-pace horse regardless.

      JR, enjoy the Caymans! I’m jealous!!


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